Quarterly Commentary

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2018 Third Quarter Newsletter & Outlook

The third quarter ended strong for US stocks and weak for bonds. As October ends, stocks have given back this year’s gains. Investors are getting …

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2018 Second Quarter Newsletter & Outlook

The markets treaded water in the first half. Trade war rhetoric, a deceleration in non-US global economic growth and fears of a yield curve inversion1 …

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2018 First Quarter Newsletter & Outlook

Warning Shot: Stocks, Bonds, Inflation, and Interest Rates The first quarter of 2018 offered some validation of my number one concern (expressed in detail in …

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2017 Year End Newsletter & Outlook1

Year End Results If MCS clients’ investments were treated as one large portfolio including their cash, on average clients gained 4.28% in 2017, after fees. …

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2017 Third Quarter Newsletter

Sequence of Return Risk This quarter’s update introduces the concept of Sequence of Return Risk and how this under-appreciated risk especially relevant in today’s market …

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2017 Second Quarter Newsletter & Outlook1

If MCS clients’ investments were treated as one large portfolio including their cash, on average clients gained 2.68% so far this year (through June 30, …

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